📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Guilsfield x Gresford Ath
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Analysis from Guilsfield x Gresford Ath for the Wales Championship North – 21 of January
🏟️ Guilsfield X Gresford Ath – Wales Championship North
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Guilsfield and Gresford Ath.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290581 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Guilsfield x Gresford Ath
Is it a good idea to bet on Guilsfield?
🔵 Guilsfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $241.20;
- And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $798.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on Gresford Ath worth it?
🔴 Gresford Ath: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$250.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Guilsfield x Gresford Ath
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Guilsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guilsfield x Gresford Ath
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Guilsfield, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Guilsfield.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Gresford Ath.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guilsfield x Gresford Ath
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves