Guimaraes B x Limianos Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Guimaraes B x Limianos, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:00

Guimaraes B 2.50

X 3.20

Limianos 2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Guimaraes B x Limianos:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Guimaraes B x Limianos

Important information for your tip for Guimaraes B x Limianos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Limianos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Guimaraes B matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Limianos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Guimaraes B conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Limianos conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Limianos is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Guimaraes B x Limianos for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Guimaraes B x Limianos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Guimaraes B x Limianos

Is it worth betting on Guimaraes B?

🔵 Guimaraes B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $555.00
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$75.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is betting on Limianos worth it?

🔴 Limianos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $495.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Guimaraes B x Limianos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Guimaraes B
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guimaraes B x Limianos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Guimaraes B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Guimaraes B.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Limianos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guimaraes B x Limianos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.