📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Guiseley x Matlock Town
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Analysis from Guiseley x Matlock Town for the England Northern Premier League – 21 of November
🏟️ Guiseley X Matlock Town – England Northern Premier League
When the best bet on Guiseley x Matlock Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Guiseley x Matlock Town
Is it a good idea to bet on Guiseley?
🔵 Guiseley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 750 times – profiting $750.00;
- And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$500.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $272.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$628.00.
Is betting on Matlock Town worth it?
🔴 Matlock Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $285.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$565.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Guiseley x Matlock Town
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Guiseley
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guiseley x Matlock Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Guiseley, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Guiseley.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Guiseley.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guiseley x Matlock Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves