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Home » Predictions » Others » Gzira United x Valletta Betting tips for February 5 in Malta FA Trophy
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 17h00 Malta FA Trophy
Gzira United Gzira United
PREDICTION Gzira United wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Valletta Valletta
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Gzira United x Valletta Betting tips for February 5 in Malta FA Trophy

Our betting tip for Gzira United x Valletta, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
17:00
Gzira United Gzira United
1.80
X
3.70
Valletta Valletta
3.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gzira United x Valletta:

🔮 Gzira United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gzira United, you can win up to $900.00!

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Important information for your tip for Gzira United x Valletta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gzira United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-191.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valletta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-131.0.
👉 Valletta did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Valletta, Gzira United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Valletta matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Gzira United conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Valletta.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Valletta has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gzira United x Valletta for the Malta FA Trophy – 5 of February

🏟️ Gzira United X Valletta – Malta FA Trophy
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Gzira United – Winning probability: 74.02% | Fair line: 1.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.55% | Fair line: 10.47
🔴 Valletta – Winning probability: 16.43% | Fair line: 6.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Gzira United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gzira United x Valletta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257659 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gzira United x Valletta

Is betting on Gzira United worth it?

🔵 Gzira United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $592.00
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$332.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$630.00.

Is it worth betting on Valletta?

🔴 Valletta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$432.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gzira United x Valletta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Gzira United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gzira United x Valletta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Gzira United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Gzira United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Gzira United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gzira United x Valletta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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