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Home » Predictions » Others » Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema Betting tips for January 11 in Ethiopia Premier League
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 12h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
PREDICTION Hadiya Hossana wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Fasil Kenema Fasil Kenema
ODD: @2.04 Don't miss this prediction!

Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema Betting tips for January 11 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
12:00
Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
2.04
X
2.90
Fasil Kenema Fasil Kenema
3.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema:

🔮 Hadiya Hossana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hadiya Hossana, you can win up to $1020.00!

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The main points for the tip for Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hadiya Hossana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $300.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fasil Kenema in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Hadiya Hossana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Fasil Kenema matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Hadiya Hossana is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema for the Ethiopia Premier League – 11 of January

🏟️ Hadiya Hossana X Fasil Kenema – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Hadiya Hossana – Winning probability: 46.43% | Fair line: 2.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.80% | Fair line: 3.15
🔴 Fasil Kenema – Winning probability: 21.77% | Fair line: 4.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hadiya Hossana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hadiya Hossana and Fasil Kenema.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema

Should you bet on Hadiya Hossana?

🔵 Hadiya Hossana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $478.40
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$61.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $608.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Should you bet on Fasil Kenema?

🔴 Fasil Kenema: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $583.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$197.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hadiya Hossana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Hadiya Hossana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Hadiya Hossana. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hadiya Hossana x Fasil Kenema

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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