Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping Betting tips for May 11 in Sweden Allsvenskan

Our betting tip for Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping, Sunday, 11/5/2025

📅 11/5/2025
12:00

Hammarby
1.42

X
4.60

IFK Norrkoping

6.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping:

🔮 Hammarby wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hammarby, you can win up to $710.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Some important points for the tip for Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hammarby in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $442.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on IFK Norrkoping in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 Hammarby did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Hammarby scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against IFK Norrkoping, Hammarby scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, IFK Norrkoping conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Hammarby is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Hammarby has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against IFK Norrkoping playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping for the Sweden Allsvenskan – 11 of May

🏟️ Hammarby X IFK Norrkoping – Sweden Allsvenskan
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Hammarby – Winning probability: 87.76% | Fair line: 1.14
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.79% | Fair line: 11.38
🔴 IFK Norrkoping – Winning probability: 3.45% | Fair line: 28.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Hammarby
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322631 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping

Is it worth betting on Hammarby?

🔵 Hammarby: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $369.60
And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$249.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 90 times – profiting $324.00;
And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$586.00.

Should you bet on IFK Norrkoping?

🔴 IFK Norrkoping: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $165.00;
And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$805.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Hammarby
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Hammarby, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Hammarby.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hammarby x IFK Norrkoping

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.