📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
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Analysis from Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town for the England National League South – 18 of January
🏟️ Hampton & Richmond X Braintree Town – England National League South
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hampton & Richmond and Braintree Town.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
Should you bet on Hampton & Richmond?
🔵 Hampton & Richmond: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $331.20;
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$21.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $501.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.50.
Is betting on Braintree Town worth it?
🔴 Braintree Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hampton & Richmond
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Hampton & Richmond and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Hampton & Richmond.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Braintree Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves