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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro Betting tips for November 24 in Taiwan Premier League
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 07h00 Taiwan Premier League
Hang Yuen Hang Yuen
PREDICTION No tip
Taichung Futuro Taichung Futuro
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Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro Betting tips for November 24 in Taiwan Premier League

Our betting tip for Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro, Sunday, 24/11/2024
πŸ“… 24/11/2024
07:00
Hang Yuen Hang Yuen
2.45
X
3.55
Taichung Futuro Taichung Futuro
2.35

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro

Some important points for the tip for Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hang Yuen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $57.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Taichung Futuro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-129.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Hang Yuen scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Hang Yuen is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro for the Taiwan Premier League – 24 of November

🏟️ Hang Yuen X Taichung Futuro – Taiwan Premier League
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2024 – 07:00
πŸ”΅ Hang Yuen – Winning probability: 32.64% | Fair line: 3.06
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.80% | Fair line: 4.03
πŸ”΄ Taichung Futuro – Winning probability: 42.56% | Fair line: 2.35
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hang Yuen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro

Is betting on Hang Yuen worth it?

πŸ”΅ Hang Yuen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $478.50
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$191.50.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $637.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$112.50.

Is betting on Taichung Futuro worth it?

πŸ”΄ Taichung Futuro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $580.50;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$10.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hang Yuen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Hang Yuen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Hang Yuen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Hang Yuen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hang Yuen x Taichung Futuro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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