Hannover 96 x Nurnberg Betting tips for September 29 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Hannover 96 x Nurnberg, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 08:30

Hannover 96 1.60

X 4.10

Nurnberg 4.89

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Hannover 96 x Nurnberg:

🔮 Hannover 96 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hannover 96, you can win up to $800.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Hannover 96 x Nurnberg: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hannover 96 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $365.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nurnberg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-113.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Hannover 96 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Nurnberg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Hannover 96 x Nurnberg, with Hannover 96 as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Nurnberg conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Hannover 96 is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Nurnberg has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Hannover 96 x Nurnberg for the Germany Bundesliga II – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hannover 96 x Nurnberg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hannover 96 x Nurnberg

Is it worth betting on Hannover 96?

🔵 Hannover 96: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
• And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$232.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $434.00;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$426.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nurnberg?

🔴 Nurnberg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $350.10;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$559.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hannover 96 x Nurnberg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Hannover 96
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hannover 96 x Nurnberg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Hannover 96, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Hannover 96.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hannover 96 x Nurnberg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.