Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town Betting tips for November 30 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Hanwell Town 2.00

X 3.42

Hungerford Town 3.17

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town

Important information for your tip for Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hanwell Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hungerford Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Hanwell Town scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Hungerford Town matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Hungerford Town has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town for the England Southern Premier League South – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hanwell Town and Hungerford Town.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town

Is it worth betting on Hanwell Town?

🔵 Hanwell Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $774.40;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$94.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Hungerford Town?

🔴 Hungerford Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $520.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$239.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hanwell Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Hanwell Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Hanwell Town.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Hanwell Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hanwell Town x Hungerford Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.