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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana Betting tips for April 14 in Israel Leumit Liga
Monday, 14 April 2025, 16h00 Israel Leumit Liga
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
PREDICTION No tip
Hapoel Raanana Hapoel Raanana
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Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana Betting tips for April 14 in Israel Leumit Liga

Our betting tip for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana, Monday, 14/4/2025
πŸ“… 14/4/2025
16:00
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
2.50
X
3.16
Hapoel Raanana Hapoel Raanana
2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana

The main points for the tip for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Afula in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $132.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Raanana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana, with Hapoel Afula as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Hapoel Afula conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Hapoel Raanana.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana for the Israel Leumit Liga – 14 of April

🏟️ Hapoel Afula X Hapoel Raanana – Israel Leumit Liga
πŸ“… 14 of April, 2025 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Hapoel Afula – Winning probability: 40.14% | Fair line: 2.49
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.97% | Fair line: 3.58
πŸ”΄ Hapoel Raanana – Winning probability: 31.89% | Fair line: 3.14
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hapoel Afula
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Raanana.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1303016 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana

Is betting on Hapoel Afula worth it?

πŸ”΅ Hapoel Afula: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$0.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $604.80
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$115.20.

Is betting on Hapoel Raanana worth it?

πŸ”΄ Hapoel Raanana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$200.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hapoel Afula
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Hapoel Afula, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Hapoel Afula.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Raanana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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