Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Betting tips for November 30 in Israel Premier League

Our betting tip for Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 16:00

Hapoel Hadera 3.05

X 3.10

Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 2.18

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

Important information for your tip for Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Hadera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin, Hapoel Hadera scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Hapoel Hadera matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Hapoel Hadera conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin for the Israel Premier League – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

Should you bet on Hapoel Hadera?

🔵 Hapoel Hadera: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $451.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$329.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $714.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$54.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin worth it?

🔴 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $519.20;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Hapoel Hadera
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Hapoel Hadera and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Hapoel Hadera.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Hadera x Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.