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16/1/2022 17:00 |
 Hapoel Hadera3.07 |
X 3.05 |
MS Ashdod  2.25 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1525.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod
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Analysis from Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod for the Israel Premier League – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Hapoel Hadera X MS Ashdod – Israel Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod
Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Hadera?
๐ต Hapoel Hadera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $393.30;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$416.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $758.50
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$128.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on MS Ashdod?
๐ด MS Ashdod: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
- And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$10.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Hapoel Hadera
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Hapoel Hadera, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Hapoel Hadera.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 MS Ashdod.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
