Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod Betting tips for September 30 in Israel Premier League

Our betting tip for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 14:00

Hapoel Hadera 2.60

X 3.02

MS Ashdod 2.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod

Important information for your tip for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Hadera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on MS Ashdod in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, MS Ashdod scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against MS Ashdod, Hapoel Hadera scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Hapoel Hadera matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 MS Ashdod matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, MS Ashdod conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Hapoel Hadera has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against MS Ashdod playing at home.

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Analysis from Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod for the Israel Premier League – 30 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hapoel Hadera and MS Ashdod.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod

Is it worth betting on Hapoel Hadera?

🔵 Hapoel Hadera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $528.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $646.40
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$33.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on MS Ashdod?

🔴 MS Ashdod: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Hapoel Hadera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Hapoel Hadera and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Hapoel Hadera.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 MS Ashdod.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Hadera x MS Ashdod

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.