Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva Betting tips for September 29 in Israel Premier League
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29/9/2024 14:00 |
Hapoel Haifa 2.00 |
X 3.36 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva 3.41 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva:
๐ฎ Hapoel Haifa wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hapoel Haifa, you can win up to $1000.00!
Some important points for the tip for Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Beer Sheva in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0. |
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Analysis from Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva for the Israel Premier League – 29 of September
๐๏ธ Hapoel Haifa X Hapoel Beer Sheva – Israel Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva
Is it worth betting on Hapoel Haifa?
๐ต Hapoel Haifa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $590.00
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$180.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $283.20
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$596.80.
Is it worth betting on Hapoel Beer Sheva?
๐ด Hapoel Beer Sheva: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $698.90;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐ฐ$11.10 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hapoel Haifa
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Hapoel Haifa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Hapoel Haifa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Haifa x Hapoel Beer Sheva
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.