Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil Betting tips for November 25 in Israel Cup

Our betting tip for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil, Monday, 25/11/2024

📅 25/11/2024 17:00

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.12

X 7.50

Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 13.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil:

🔮 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, you can win up to $560.00!

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The main points for the tip for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Ironi Karmiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-76.0. 👉 In the last 11 matches as the home team, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil scored at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil conceded at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil for the Israel Cup – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil

Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

🔵 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – profiting $118.80;
• And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$108.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $65.00
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$925.00.

Is betting on Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil worth it?

🔴 Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel x Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.