# Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Kfar Shalem Betting tips for September 30 in Israel Leumit Liga

๐
30/9/2024 13:00 |
Hapoel Tel-Aviv 1.75 |
X 3.75 |
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 3.80 |

This is the tip that our **machine learning model** has selected for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Kfar Shalem:

๐ฎ **Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins the match**

๐ฐ When you bet the **bonus of $500 from Bet365** on Hapoel Tel-Aviv, you can win up to **$875.00**!

๐ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Tel-Aviv in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0. |

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## Analysis from Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Kfar Shalem for the Israel Leumit Liga – 30 of September

๐๏ธ Hapoel Tel-Aviv X Hapoel Kfar Shalem – Israel Leumit Liga |

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Kfar Shalem right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than **1191189 matches** from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

### Tips for the *Match Odds* market for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Kfar Shalem

#### Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Tel-Aviv?

๐ต **Hapoel Tel-Aviv**: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around **62.41%**, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of **1.75**. In other words, this means that if you made **1000 bets** of $1 like this, you:

- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $465.00;
- And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an **expected final profit ** of ๐ฐ**$85.00**.

#### Should you bet on draw?

โช **draw**: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is **23.48%** and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are **3.75**. In other words, this means that if you made **1000 bets** of $1 like this, you:

- Would hit 230 times – profiting $632.50;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a **final loss** of ๐ฐ**-$137.50**.

#### Should you bet on Hapoel Kfar Shalem?

๐ด **Hapoel Kfar Shalem**: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around **14.1%**, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of **3.80**. That is, when you make **1000 bets** of $1 like this one, you:

- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $392.00
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a **final loss** of ๐ฐ**-$468.00**.

### Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hapoel Tel-Aviv

โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

#### Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Kfar Shalem

**โ Handicap 1×2:** considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be **-0.25 Hapoel Tel-Aviv**, and the current handicap offered by bookies is **-0.75 Hapoel Tel-Aviv**.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is **0.50**. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: **0.75 Hapoel Kfar Shalem**.

#### Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Kfar Shalem

**โฝ Goals Handicap:** considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be **3.25 goals**, and the current handicap offered by bookies is **3.00 goals**.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is **0.25**. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: **+ 3.00 goals**.