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Home » Predictions » Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Betting tips for February 4 in Israel Leumit Liga
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 17h00 Israel Leumit Liga
Hapoel Tel-Aviv Hapoel Tel-Aviv
PREDICTION Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
ODD: @1.17 Don't miss this prediction!

Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Betting tips for February 4 in Israel Leumit Liga

Our betting tip for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
17:00
Hapoel Tel-Aviv Hapoel Tel-Aviv
1.17
X
6.35
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
11.39

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm:

🔮 Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hapoel Tel-Aviv, you can win up to $585.00!

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The main points for the tip for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Tel-Aviv in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $229.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Hapoel Tel-Aviv scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Hapoel Tel-Aviv is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm for the Israel Leumit Liga – 4 of February

🏟️ Hapoel Tel-Aviv X Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – Israel Leumit Liga
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Hapoel Tel-Aviv – Winning probability: 97.71% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.07% | Fair line: 48.42
🔴 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – Winning probability: 0.22% | Fair line: 446.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Hapoel Tel-Aviv
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256585 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Is it worth betting on Hapoel Tel-Aviv?

🔵 Hapoel Tel-Aviv: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $166.60;
  • And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$146.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $107.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$873.00.

Is betting on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm worth it?

🔴 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Hapoel Tel-Aviv
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Hapoel Tel-Aviv, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Hapoel Tel-Aviv.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Tel-Aviv x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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