Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC Betting tips for September 29 in Jamaica Premier League

Our betting tip for Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 17:00

Harbour View FC 1.85

X 3.60

Molynes United FC 3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC

The main points for the tip for Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Harbour View FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Molynes United FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-87.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Harbour View FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Harbour View FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Molynes United FC. 👉 It is not a good time for Harbour View FC as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC for the Jamaica Premier League – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC

Is it worth betting on Harbour View FC?

🔵 Harbour View FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $459.00;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$1.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $650.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is betting on Molynes United FC worth it?

🔴 Molynes United FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $525.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Harbour View FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Harbour View FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Harbour View FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Harbour View FC x Molynes United FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.