📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hastings Utd x Carshalton Ath
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Analysis from Hastings Utd x Carshalton Ath for the England Isthmian Premier Division – 21 of November
🏟️ Hastings Utd X Carshalton Ath – England Isthmian Premier Division
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hastings Utd x Carshalton Ath right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hastings Utd x Carshalton Ath
Is it worth betting on Hastings Utd?
🔵 Hastings Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $452.40;
- And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$157.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$82.00.
Is betting on Carshalton Ath worth it?
🔴 Carshalton Ath: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hastings Utd x Carshalton Ath
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hastings Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hastings Utd x Carshalton Ath
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Hastings Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Hastings Utd. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hastings Utd x Carshalton Ath
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves