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Home » Predictions » Others » Havant and W x Basingstoke Betting tips for November 30 in England Southern Premier League South
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 England Southern Premier League South
Havant and W Havant and W
PREDICTION Havant and W wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Basingstoke Basingstoke
ODD: @1.69 Don't miss this prediction!

Havant and W x Basingstoke Betting tips for November 30 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Havant and W x Basingstoke, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Havant and W Havant and W
1.69
X
3.71
Basingstoke Basingstoke
3.58

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Havant and W x Basingstoke:

🔮 Havant and W wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Havant and W, you can win up to $845.00!

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The main points for the tip for Havant and W x Basingstoke:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Havant and W in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $107.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Basingstoke in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Basingstoke, Havant and W scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Basingstoke conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Havant and W has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Basingstoke.

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Summary

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Analysis from Havant and W x Basingstoke for the England Southern Premier League South – 30 of November

🏟️ Havant and W X Basingstoke – England Southern Premier League South
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Havant and W – Winning probability: 71.21% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.63% | Fair line: 5.37
🔴 Basingstoke – Winning probability: 10.16% | Fair line: 9.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Havant and W
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Havant and W x Basingstoke right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Havant and W x Basingstoke

Is it a good idea to bet on Havant and W?

🔵 Havant and W: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $489.90;
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$199.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $514.90;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$295.10.

Is it worth betting on Basingstoke?

🔴 Basingstoke: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $258.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$642.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Havant and W x Basingstoke

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Havant and W
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Havant and W x Basingstoke

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Havant and W, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Havant and W.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Havant and W.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Havant and W x Basingstoke

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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