Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee Betting tips for March 9 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025
12:00

Hawassa City FC
4.07

X
2.95

Ethiopian Coffee

1.92

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee

The main points for the tip for Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hawassa City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ethiopian Coffee in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $163.0.
👉 Ethiopian Coffee did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 Hawassa City FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 Ethiopian Coffee matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Ethiopian Coffee has not lost any of them.

Summary

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Analysis from Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee for the Ethiopia Premier League – 9 of March

🏟️ Hawassa City FC X Ethiopian Coffee – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Hawassa City FC – Winning probability: 13.25% | Fair line: 7.55
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.76% | Fair line: 3.05
🔴 Ethiopian Coffee – Winning probability: 53.99% | Fair line: 1.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Hawassa City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee

Is it worth betting on Hawassa City FC?

🔵 Hawassa City FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 130 times – profiting $399.10;
And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$470.90.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $643.50
And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$26.50.

Is betting on Ethiopian Coffee worth it?

🔴 Ethiopian Coffee: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 540 times – profiting $496.80;
And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$36.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Hawassa City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Hawassa City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Hawassa City FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hawassa City FC x Ethiopian Coffee

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.