📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hearts x St Johnstone
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Analysis from Hearts x St Johnstone for the Scotland Premiership – 18 of January
🏟️ Hearts X St Johnstone – Scotland Premiership
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hearts and St Johnstone.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289715 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hearts x St Johnstone
Is betting on Hearts worth it?
🔵 Hearts: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $379.50;
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$69.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $630.30;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$149.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on St Johnstone?
🔴 St Johnstone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $429.75;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$480.25.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hearts x St Johnstone
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Hearts
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hearts x St Johnstone
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Hearts and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Hearts.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 St Johnstone.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hearts x St Johnstone
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves