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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys Betting tips for March 9 in Lithuania A Lyga
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 12h00 Lithuania A Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
PREDICTION No tip
Panevezys Panevezys
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Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys Betting tips for March 9 in Lithuania A Lyga

Our betting tip for Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
12:00
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
1.81
X
3.30
Panevezys Panevezys
3.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys

Important information for your tip for Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hegelmann Litauen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $83.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Panevezys in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Hegelmann Litauen scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Hegelmann Litauen matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Hegelmann Litauen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Hegelmann Litauen has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Panevezys playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys for the Lithuania A Lyga – 9 of March

🏟️ Hegelmann Litauen X Panevezys – Lithuania A Lyga
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Hegelmann Litauen – Winning probability: 54.62% | Fair line: 1.83
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.90% | Fair line: 3.86
πŸ”΄ Panevezys – Winning probability: 19.48% | Fair line: 5.13
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hegelmann Litauen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys

Should you bet on Hegelmann Litauen?

πŸ”΅ Hegelmann Litauen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $445.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$4.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $598.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$142.00.

Is betting on Panevezys worth it?

πŸ”΄ Panevezys: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $560.50;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$249.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hegelmann Litauen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Hegelmann Litauen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Hegelmann Litauen.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hegelmann Litauen x Panevezys

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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