📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City
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Analysis from Hemel Hempstead x Bath City for the England National League South – 15 of January
🏟️ Hemel Hempstead X Bath City – England National League South
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hemel Hempstead and Bath City.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City
Is betting on Hemel Hempstead worth it?
🔵 Hemel Hempstead: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 400 times – profiting $560.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $747.10
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$57.10.
Should you bet on Bath City?
🔴 Bath City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $433.55;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$276.45.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hemel Hempstead x Bath City
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hemel Hempstead
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Hemel Hempstead, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Hemel Hempstead. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves