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Hemel Hempstead x Bath City Betting tips for November 21 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Hemel Hempstead Hemel Hempstead
2.70
X
3.20
Bath City Bath City
2.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bath City wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bath City, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hemel Hempstead in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $28.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bath City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Hemel Hempstead scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bath City, Hemel Hempstead scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bath City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Hemel Hempstead has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Bath City.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Hemel Hempstead x Bath City?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Hemel Hempstead x Bath City:

Analysis from Hemel Hempstead x Bath City for the England National League South – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Hemel Hempstead X Bath City – England National League South
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Hemel Hempstead – Winning probability: 22.51% | Fair line: 4.44
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.94% | Fair line: 4.18
๐Ÿ”ด Bath City – Winning probability: 53.55% | Fair line: 1.87
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Hemel Hempstead
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Hemel Hempstead x Bath City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City

Should you bet on Hemel Hempstead?

๐Ÿ”ต Hemel Hempstead: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $391.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$379.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$232.00.

Is it worth betting on Bath City?

๐Ÿ”ด Bath City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $702.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$242.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Hemel Hempstead x Bath City

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Hemel Hempstead
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Hemel Hempstead, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Hemel Hempstead.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Bath City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hemel Hempstead x Bath City

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves