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Home » Predictions » Others » Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood Betting tips for February 3 in England National League South
Monday, 03 February 2025, 19h45 England National League South
Hemel Hempstead Hemel Hempstead
PREDICTION Boreham Wood Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood Betting tips for February 3 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood, Monday, 3/2/2025
📅 3/2/2025
19:45
Hemel Hempstead Hemel Hempstead
4.19
X
3.70
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
1.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood:

🔮 Boreham Wood wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Boreham Wood, you can win up to $850.00!

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The main points for the tip for Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hemel Hempstead in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $410.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Boreham Wood in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-57.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Hemel Hempstead scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Hemel Hempstead matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Hemel Hempstead is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood for the England National League South – 3 of February

🏟️ Hemel Hempstead X Boreham Wood – England National League South
📅 3 of February, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Hemel Hempstead – Winning probability: 12.68% | Fair line: 7.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.13% | Fair line: 6.61
🔴 Boreham Wood – Winning probability: 72.19% | Fair line: 1.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Hemel Hempstead
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hemel Hempstead and Boreham Wood.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255653 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood

Is it worth betting on Hemel Hempstead?

🔵 Hemel Hempstead: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $414.70;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$455.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$445.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Boreham Wood?

🔴 Boreham Wood: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$224.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Hemel Hempstead
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Hemel Hempstead and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Hemel Hempstead.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hemel Hempstead x Boreham Wood

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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