Hercilio Luz x Avai Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
π
5/2/2025 23:30 |
![]() 3.10 |
X 3.00 |
Avai ![]() 2.21 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Hercilio Luz x Avai:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Hercilio Luz x Avai
Some important points for the tip for Hercilio Luz x Avai: π If you had bet $100 on Hercilio Luz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $17.0. |

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Analysis from Hercilio Luz x Avai for the Brazil Campeonato Catarinense – 5 of February
ποΈ Hercilio Luz X Avai – Brazil Campeonato Catarinense |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hercilio Luz x Avai right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257906 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hercilio Luz x Avai
Is betting on Hercilio Luz worth it?
π΅ Hercilio Luz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$70.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $460.00;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$310.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Avai?
π΄ Avai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 480 times – profiting $580.80;
- And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$60.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hercilio Luz x Avai
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Hercilio Luz
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hercilio Luz x Avai
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Hercilio Luz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Hercilio Luz.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hercilio Luz x Avai
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.