Hercules x Sevilla Atletico Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
π
1/12/2024 11:00 |
Hercules 1.91 |
X 3.10 |
Sevilla Atletico 3.80 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Hercules x Sevilla Atletico:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Hercules x Sevilla Atletico
The main points for the tip for Hercules x Sevilla Atletico: π If you had bet $100 on Hercules in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0. |
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Analysis from Hercules x Sevilla Atletico for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 1 of December
ποΈ Hercules X Sevilla Atletico – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hercules and Sevilla Atletico.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hercules x Sevilla Atletico
Is betting on Hercules worth it?
π΅ Hercules: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 550 times – profiting $500.50;
- And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$50.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $651.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$39.00.
Is betting on Sevilla Atletico worth it?
π΄ Sevilla Atletico: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $392.00
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$468.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hercules x Sevilla Atletico
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hercules
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hercules x Sevilla Atletico
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Hercules, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Hercules. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hercules x Sevilla Atletico
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.