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Home » Predictions » Others » Hercules x Yeclano Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 14h30 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Hercules Hercules
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Yeclano Yeclano
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Hercules x Yeclano Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Hercules x Yeclano, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
14:30
Hercules Hercules
2.05
X
2.80
Yeclano Yeclano
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hercules x Yeclano:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1400.00!

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The main points for the tip for Hercules x Yeclano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hercules in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $358.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Yeclano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Hercules scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Yeclano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Hercules is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hercules x Yeclano for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 2 of February

🏟️ Hercules X Yeclano – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 Hercules – Winning probability: 43.63% | Fair line: 2.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.85% | Fair line: 2.64
🔴 Yeclano – Winning probability: 18.53% | Fair line: 5.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hercules
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hercules x Yeclano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hercules x Yeclano

Is it worth betting on Hercules?

🔵 Hercules: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$98.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $684.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$64.00.

Is betting on Yeclano worth it?

🔴 Yeclano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hercules x Yeclano

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hercules
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hercules x Yeclano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Hercules and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Hercules.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Yeclano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hercules x Yeclano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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