📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Hereford FC x Gateshead
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Analysis from Hereford FC x Gateshead for the England National League North – 15 of January
🏟️ Hereford FC X Gateshead – England National League North
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hereford FC and Gateshead.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hereford FC x Gateshead
Is it a good idea to bet on Hereford FC?
🔵 Hereford FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $708.40
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$11.60.
Is it worth betting on Gateshead?
🔴 Gateshead: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $384.80
- And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$95.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hereford FC x Gateshead
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Hereford FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hereford FC x Gateshead
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Hereford FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Hereford FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hereford FC x Gateshead
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves