Hibernians x Naxxar Lions Betting tips for March 9 in Malta Premier League

Our betting tip for Hibernians x Naxxar Lions, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 12:45

Hibernians 1.57

X 3.98

Naxxar Lions 4.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Hibernians x Naxxar Lions:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Hibernians x Naxxar Lions

The main points for the tip for Hibernians x Naxxar Lions: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hibernians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Naxxar Lions in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-40.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Hibernians x Naxxar Lions, with Hibernians as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Hibernians x Naxxar Lions for the Malta Premier League – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hibernians x Naxxar Lions right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hibernians x Naxxar Lions

Is it worth betting on Hibernians?

🔵 Hibernians: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $399.00;
• And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$99.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $476.80;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$363.20.

Is betting on Naxxar Lions worth it?

🔴 Naxxar Lions: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $534.80
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$325.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hibernians x Naxxar Lions

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Hibernians
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hibernians x Naxxar Lions

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Hibernians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Hibernians.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Hibernians.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hibernians x Naxxar Lions

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.