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Home » Predictions » Others » HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb Betting tips for April 12 in Croatia 1.NL
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 14h30 Croatia 1.NL
HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia
PREDICTION HNK Cibalia wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
NK Dubrava Zagreb NK Dubrava Zagreb
ODD: @1.87 Don't miss this prediction!

HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb Betting tips for April 12 in Croatia 1.NL

Our betting tip for HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
14:30
HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia
1.87
X
3.20
NK Dubrava Zagreb NK Dubrava Zagreb
3.98

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb:

🔮 HNK Cibalia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on HNK Cibalia, you can win up to $935.00!

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The main points for the tip for HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb:

👉 If you had bet $100 on HNK Cibalia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-171.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Dubrava Zagreb in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-400.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against NK Dubrava Zagreb, HNK Cibalia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 HNK Cibalia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, NK Dubrava Zagreb conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for NK Dubrava Zagreb as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb for the Croatia 1.NL – 12 of April

🏟️ HNK Cibalia X NK Dubrava Zagreb – Croatia 1.NL
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 HNK Cibalia – Winning probability: 58.33% | Fair line: 1.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.45% | Fair line: 3.93
🔴 NK Dubrava Zagreb – Winning probability: 16.22% | Fair line: 6.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 HNK Cibalia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb

Is betting on HNK Cibalia worth it?

🔵 HNK Cibalia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $504.60;
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$84.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is betting on NK Dubrava Zagreb worth it?

🔴 NK Dubrava Zagreb: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $476.80
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$363.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 HNK Cibalia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 HNK Cibalia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 HNK Cibalia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 HNK Cibalia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for HNK Cibalia x NK Dubrava Zagreb

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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