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Home » Predictions » Others » HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961 Betting tips for March 15 in Croatia HNL
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 14h00 Croatia HNL
HNK Sibenik HNK Sibenik
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
ODD: @2.77 Don't miss this prediction!

HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961 Betting tips for March 15 in Croatia HNL

Our betting tip for HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
14:00
HNK Sibenik HNK Sibenik
2.85
X
2.77
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
2.62

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1385.00!

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The main points for the tip for HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961:

👉 If you had bet $100 on HNK Sibenik in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-378.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Istra 1961 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 Istra 1961 did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Istra 1961 matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961, with HNK Sibenik as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, HNK Sibenik conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Istra 1961 has not lost any of them.
👉 HNK Sibenik has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Istra 1961 playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961 for the Croatia HNL – 15 of March

🏟️ HNK Sibenik X Istra 1961 – Croatia HNL
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 HNK Sibenik – Winning probability: 23.58% | Fair line: 4.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.52% | Fair line: 2.82
🔴 Istra 1961 – Winning probability: 40.90% | Fair line: 2.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 HNK Sibenik
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961

Is it a good idea to bet on HNK Sibenik?

🔵 HNK Sibenik: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $444.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $637.20
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$2.80.

Is it worth betting on Istra 1961?

🔴 Istra 1961: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $664.20;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$74.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 HNK Sibenik
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 HNK Sibenik and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 HNK Sibenik.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Istra 1961.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for HNK Sibenik x Istra 1961

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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