Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC Betting tips for September 29 in Vietnam V-League

Our betting tip for Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:15

Ho Chi Minh City 3.80

X 3.50

Ha Noi FC 1.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC:

🔮 Ha Noi FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ha Noi FC, you can win up to $900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ho Chi Minh City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $415.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ha Noi FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-85.0. 👉 In the last 3 Ho Chi Minh City matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC, with Ho Chi Minh City as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Ho Chi Minh City conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ha Noi FC. 👉 Even as a visitor, Ha Noi FC won the last 4 head-to-head matches Ho Chi Minh City´s territory

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Analysis from Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC for the Vietnam V-League – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ho Chi Minh City and Ha Noi FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC

Is it worth betting on Ho Chi Minh City?

🔵 Ho Chi Minh City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$506.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $625.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ha Noi FC?

🔴 Ha Noi FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $496.00
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$116.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ho Chi Minh City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Ho Chi Minh City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Ho Chi Minh City.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ho Chi Minh City x Ha Noi FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.