Holbæk x Brabrand Betting tips for May 10 in Denmark Division 3
📅 10/5/2025 11:00 |
![]() 2.75 |
X 3.35 |
Brabrand ![]() 2.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Holbæk x Brabrand:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Holbæk x Brabrand
The main points for the tip for Holbæk x Brabrand: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Holbæk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0. |

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Analysis from Holbæk x Brabrand for the Denmark Division 3 – 10 of May
🏟️ Holbæk X Brabrand – Denmark Division 3 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Holbæk x Brabrand right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322135 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Holbæk x Brabrand
Is it worth betting on Holbæk?
🔵 Holbæk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $647.50
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$17.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $705.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$5.00.
Should you bet on Brabrand?
🔴 Brabrand: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$274.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Holbæk x Brabrand
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Holbæk
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holbæk x Brabrand
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Holbæk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Holbæk.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Holbæk.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holbæk x Brabrand
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.