Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen Betting tips for May 11 in Germany Regionalliga North

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen, Sunday, 11/5/2025

📅 11/5/2025
12:00

Holstein Kiel II
4.20

X
4.30

SV Meppen

1.58

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen:

🔮 SV Meppen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SV Meppen, you can win up to $790.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SV Meppen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $83.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Holstein Kiel II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, SV Meppen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 SV Meppen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 SV Meppen is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Summary

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Analysis from Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen for the Germany Regionalliga North – 11 of May

🏟️ Holstein Kiel II X SV Meppen – Germany Regionalliga North
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Holstein Kiel II – Winning probability: 19.34% | Fair line: 5.17
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.69% | Fair line: 6.37
🔴 SV Meppen – Winning probability: 64.97% | Fair line: 1.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Holstein Kiel II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1322631 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen

Is betting on Holstein Kiel II worth it?

🔵 Holstein Kiel II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $608.00;
And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$312.00.

Is it worth betting on SV Meppen?

🔴 SV Meppen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $377.00;
And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$27.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Holstein Kiel II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Holstein Kiel II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Holstein Kiel II.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel II x SV Meppen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.