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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II Betting tips for October 2 in Germany Regionalliga North
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Germany Regionalliga North
Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II
PREDICTION No tip
Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II
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Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II Betting tips for October 2 in Germany Regionalliga North

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
πŸ“… 2/10/2024
10:00
Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II
2.38
X
3.76
Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II
2.35

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II

The main points for the tip for Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $181.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Holstein Kiel II scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen II scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Werder Bremen II matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Holstein Kiel II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Holstein Kiel II conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Werder Bremen II.

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Summary

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Analysis from Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II for the Germany Regionalliga North – 2 of October

🏟️ Holstein Kiel II X Werder Bremen II – Germany Regionalliga North
πŸ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Holstein Kiel II – Winning probability: 39.26% | Fair line: 2.55
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.75% | Fair line: 4.82
πŸ”΄ Werder Bremen II – Winning probability: 40.00% | Fair line: 2.5
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Holstein Kiel II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II

Should you bet on Holstein Kiel II?

πŸ”΅ Holstein Kiel II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $538.20
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$71.80.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $579.60;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$210.40.

Is betting on Werder Bremen II worth it?

πŸ”΄ Werder Bremen II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$60.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Holstein Kiel II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Holstein Kiel II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Holstein Kiel II.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel II x Werder Bremen II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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