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20/1/2022 01:15 |
 Honduras Progreso5.95 |
X 4.20 |
Motagua  1.44 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Honduras Progreso x Motagua:
๐ฎ Motagua wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Motagua, you can win up to $720.00!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Honduras Progreso x Motagua
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Honduras Progreso x Motagua?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Honduras Progreso x Motagua:
Analysis from Honduras Progreso x Motagua for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 20 of January
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๐๏ธ Honduras Progreso X Motagua – Honduras Liga Nacional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Honduras Progreso and Motagua.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289909 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Honduras Progreso x Motagua
Is betting on Honduras Progreso worth it?
๐ต Honduras Progreso: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $198.00
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$762.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$454.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Motagua?
๐ด Motagua: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $360.80
- And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$180.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Honduras Progreso x Motagua
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Honduras Progreso
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Honduras Progreso x Motagua
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Honduras Progreso and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Honduras Progreso.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Honduras Progreso.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Honduras Progreso x Motagua
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Thursday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
