Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2 Betting tips for September 29 in Norway Division 3 Group 6

Our betting tip for Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

Honefoss 1.10

X 8.48

Kongsvinger 2 13.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2

Important information for your tip for Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Honefoss in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kongsvinger 2 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Honefoss scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Kongsvinger 2 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2 for the Norway Division 3 Group 6 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Honefoss and Kongsvinger 2.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2

Is betting on Honefoss worth it?

🔵 Honefoss: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – profiting $100.00;
• And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$100.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Kongsvinger 2?

🔴 Kongsvinger 2: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Honefoss
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.5 Honefoss, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.5 Honefoss.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Honefoss x Kongsvinger 2

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.50 goals.