Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City Betting tips for September 29 in Hong Kong Premier League
| 📅 29/9/2024 05:30 |
 Hong Kong FC3.40 |
X 4.05 |
Kowloon City  1.76 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City:
🔮 Kowloon City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kowloon City, you can win up to $880.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hong Kong FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. |
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Analysis from Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City for the Hong Kong Premier League – 29 of September
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🏟️ Hong Kong FC X Kowloon City – Hong Kong Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City
Should you bet on Hong Kong FC?
🔵 Hong Kong FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $518.50;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$311.50.
Is it worth betting on Kowloon City?
🔴 Kowloon City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $448.40;
- And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$38.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Hong Kong FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Hong Kong FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Hong Kong FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Kowloon City.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hong Kong FC x Kowloon City
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
