Horizonte FC x Treze Betting tips for May 10 in Brazil Serie D
| 📅 10/5/2025 19:30 |
 Horizonte FC2.82 |
X 3.02 |
Treze  2.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Horizonte FC x Treze:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Horizonte FC x Treze
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Analysis from Horizonte FC x Treze for the Brazil Serie D – 10 of May
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🏟️ Horizonte FC X Treze – Brazil Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Horizonte FC x Treze right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322368 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Horizonte FC x Treze
Is it worth betting on Horizonte FC?
🔵 Horizonte FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $418.60;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$351.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $545.40
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.60.
Is it worth betting on Treze?
🔴 Treze: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $650.00
- And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$150.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Horizonte FC x Treze
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Horizonte FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Horizonte FC x Treze
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Horizonte FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Horizonte FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Horizonte FC x Treze
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
