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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa Betting tips for September 29 in Czech Republic 3. Ligy
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 05h15 Czech Republic 3. Ligy
Hradec Kralove B Hradec Kralove B
PREDICTION Hradec Kralove B wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Arsenal Ceska Lipa Arsenal Ceska Lipa
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa Betting tips for September 29 in Czech Republic 3. Ligy

Our betting tip for Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
05:15
Hradec Kralove B Hradec Kralove B
1.55
X
4.00
Arsenal Ceska Lipa Arsenal Ceska Lipa
4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Hradec Kralove B wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hradec Kralove B, you can win up to $775.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hradec Kralove B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $76.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arsenal Ceska Lipa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Arsenal Ceska Lipa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Arsenal Ceska Lipa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Arsenal Ceska Lipa as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa for the Czech Republic 3. Ligy – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Hradec Kralove B X Arsenal Ceska Lipa – Czech Republic 3. Ligy
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 05:15
๐Ÿ”ต Hradec Kralove B – Winning probability: 74.44% | Fair line: 1.34
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.24% | Fair line: 6.16
๐Ÿ”ด Arsenal Ceska Lipa – Winning probability: 9.32% | Fair line: 10.72
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Hradec Kralove B
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Is betting on Hradec Kralove B worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Hradec Kralove B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $407.00;
  • And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$147.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$360.00.

Should you bet on Arsenal Ceska Lipa?

๐Ÿ”ด Arsenal Ceska Lipa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $324.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$586.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Hradec Kralove B
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Hradec Kralove B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Hradec Kralove B.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hradec Kralove B x Arsenal Ceska Lipa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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