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Home » Predictions » Others » Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido Betting tips for September 30 in Chile Primera Division
Monday, 30 September 2024, 18h00 Chile Primera Division
Huachipato Huachipato
PREDICTION Huachipato wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
ODD: @2.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido Betting tips for September 30 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
18:00
Huachipato Huachipato
2.38
X
3.19
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido:

🔮 Huachipato wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Huachipato, you can win up to $1190.00!

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The main points for the tip for Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Huachipato in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Coquimbo Unido in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Coquimbo Unido conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido for the Chile Primera Division – 30 of September

🏟️ Huachipato X Coquimbo Unido – Chile Primera Division
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Huachipato – Winning probability: 41.97% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.86% | Fair line: 3.35
🔴 Coquimbo Unido – Winning probability: 28.17% | Fair line: 3.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Huachipato
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192575 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido

Should you bet on Huachipato?

🔵 Huachipato: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $579.60;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$0.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $657.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is betting on Coquimbo Unido worth it?

🔴 Coquimbo Unido: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$216.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Huachipato
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Huachipato, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Huachipato.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Huachipato x Coquimbo Unido

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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