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Home » Predictions » Others » Huesca x Malaga Betting tips for April 14 in Spain Segunda
Monday, 14 April 2025, 18h30 Spain Segunda
Huesca Huesca
PREDICTION Huesca wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Malaga Malaga
ODD: @1.93 Don't miss this prediction!

Huesca x Malaga Betting tips for April 14 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Huesca x Malaga, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
18:30
Huesca Huesca
1.93
X
3.05
Malaga Malaga
4.13

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Huesca x Malaga:

🔮 Huesca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Huesca, you can win up to $965.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Huesca x Malaga:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Huesca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $47.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Malaga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Huesca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Huesca x Malaga, with Huesca as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Huesca matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Huesca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Malaga conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Huesca has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Malaga playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Huesca x Malaga for the Spain Segunda – 14 of April

🏟️ Huesca X Malaga – Spain Segunda
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Huesca – Winning probability: 59.90% | Fair line: 1.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.40% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Malaga – Winning probability: 12.70% | Fair line: 7.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Huesca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Huesca x Malaga is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Huesca x Malaga

Should you bet on Huesca?

🔵 Huesca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $558.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$158.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $553.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$176.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Malaga?

🔴 Malaga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $406.90;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$463.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Huesca x Malaga

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Huesca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Huesca x Malaga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Huesca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Huesca.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Huesca x Malaga

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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