π
22/1/2022 15:00 |
![]() 2.09 |
X 3.40 |
Chelmsford ![]() 3.05 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hungerford Town x Chelmsford:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Hungerford Town x Chelmsford
π Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hungerford Town x Chelmsford
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Hungerford Town x Chelmsford?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Hungerford Town x Chelmsford, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Hungerford Town x Chelmsford for the England National League South – 22 of January
ποΈ Hungerford Town X Chelmsford – England National League South |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hungerford Town and Chelmsford.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hungerford Town x Chelmsford
Is it worth betting on Hungerford Town?
π΅ Hungerford Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $512.30
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$17.70.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$48.00.
Should you bet on Chelmsford?
π΄ Chelmsford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $492.00
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$268.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hungerford Town x Chelmsford
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hungerford Town
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hungerford Town x Chelmsford
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Hungerford Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Hungerford Town.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hungerford Town x Chelmsford
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves