Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves Betting tips for October 1 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves

Our betting tip for Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:00

Huracan Reserves 2.06

X 3.00

Defensa y Justicia Reserves 3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Huracan Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $102.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensa y Justicia Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Huracan Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Defensa y Justicia Reserves, Huracan Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Huracan Reserves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Huracan Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Defensa y Justicia Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Huracan Reserves is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Huracan Reserves has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Defensa y Justicia Reserves playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Defensa y Justicia Reserves as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves for the Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves – 1 of October

When the best bet on Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves

Should you bet on Huracan Reserves?

🔵 Huracan Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $413.40;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$196.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $800.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Defensa y Justicia Reserves?

🔴 Defensa y Justicia Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Huracan Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Huracan Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Huracan Reserves.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Huracan Reserves x Defensa y Justicia Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.