HW Welders x Ards FC Betting tips for March 15 in Northern Ireland Championship

Our betting tip for HW Welders x Ards FC, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 15:00

HW Welders 1.45

X 4.29

Ards FC 5.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for HW Welders x Ards FC:

🔮 HW Welders wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on HW Welders, you can win up to $725.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for HW Welders x Ards FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ards FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $475.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, HW Welders scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 HW Welders matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between HW Welders x Ards FC, with HW Welders as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 HW Welders is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from HW Welders x Ards FC for the Northern Ireland Championship – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for HW Welders x Ards FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for HW Welders x Ards FC

Should you bet on HW Welders?

🔵 HW Welders: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – profiting $346.50;
• And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$116.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $493.50
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$356.50.

Should you bet on Ards FC?

🔴 Ards FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $350.40;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$569.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match HW Welders x Ards FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 HW Welders
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for HW Welders x Ards FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 HW Welders, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 HW Welders.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 HW Welders.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for HW Welders x Ards FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.