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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» HW Welders x Bangor FC Betting tips for November 23 in Northern Ireland Championship
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 15h00 Northern Ireland Championship
HW Welders HW Welders
PREDICTION No tip
Bangor FC Bangor FC
Don't miss this prediction!

HW Welders x Bangor FC Betting tips for November 23 in Northern Ireland Championship

Our betting tip for HW Welders x Bangor FC, Saturday, 23/11/2024
πŸ“… 23/11/2024
15:00
HW Welders HW Welders
2.38
X
3.75
Bangor FC Bangor FC
2.36

Our algorithm has selected this tip for HW Welders x Bangor FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for HW Welders x Bangor FC

The main points for the tip for HW Welders x Bangor FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on HW Welders in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bangor FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $320.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Bangor FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, HW Welders conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from HW Welders x Bangor FC for the Northern Ireland Championship – 23 of November

🏟️ HW Welders X Bangor FC – Northern Ireland Championship
πŸ“… 23 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ HW Welders – Winning probability: 37.65% | Fair line: 2.66
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.24% | Fair line: 4.3
πŸ”΄ Bangor FC – Winning probability: 39.11% | Fair line: 2.56
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 HW Welders
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on HW Welders x Bangor FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225929 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for HW Welders x Bangor FC

Is it a good idea to bet on HW Welders?

πŸ”΅ HW Welders: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $524.40
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$95.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $632.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$137.50.

Is it worth betting on Bangor FC?

πŸ”΄ Bangor FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $530.40
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$79.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match HW Welders x Bangor FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 HW Welders
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for HW Welders x Bangor FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 HW Welders and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 HW Welders.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Bangor FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for HW Welders x Bangor FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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