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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia Betting tips for September 30 in Uruguay Segunda
Monday, 30 September 2024, 14h30 Uruguay Segunda
IA Sud America IA Sud America
PREDICTION No tip
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
Don't miss this prediction!

IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia Betting tips for September 30 in Uruguay Segunda

Our betting tip for IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
14:30
IA Sud America IA Sud America
3.35
X
3.00
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
2.13

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia

Some important points for the tip for IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on IA Sud America in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Plaza Colonia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $583.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Plaza Colonia, IA Sud America scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 IA Sud America matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, IA Sud America conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, IA Sud America conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Plaza Colonia.
πŸ‘‰ IA Sud America has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Plaza Colonia playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia for the Uruguay Segunda – 30 of September

🏟️ IA Sud America X Plaza Colonia – Uruguay Segunda
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ IA Sud America – Winning probability: 18.47% | Fair line: 5.41
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.73% | Fair line: 3.06
πŸ”΄ Plaza Colonia – Winning probability: 48.80% | Fair line: 2.05
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 IA Sud America
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia

Is betting on IA Sud America worth it?

πŸ”΅ IA Sud America: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $423.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$397.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Plaza Colonia?

πŸ”΄ Plaza Colonia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $553.70;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$43.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 IA Sud America
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 IA Sud America and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 IA Sud America.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for IA Sud America x Plaza Colonia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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